Winnipeg, Manitoba — The Winnipeg Jets face a critical juncture in their playoff series against the St. Louis Blues, where the performance of goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has come under scrutiny. While the team’s defense has historically provided strong support, recent games have left fans questioning the balance between goaltending excellence and defensive breakdowns.
Hellebuyck’s playoff struggles have been evident, particularly during a recent game where he allowed five goals on just 18 shots. Advanced metrics reveal he was responsible for conceding an alarming 3.12 goals above the expected average, leaving him with a cumulative adjusted save percentage (GSAx) of minus-7.23 over the first four games of this series. As he continues to underperform in the postseason, the weight of this ongoing trend—he has now registered a negative GSAx for three consecutive playoff seasons—grows heavier.
Historically, Hellebuyck’s 2021 playoffs marked a high point, where he saved nearly nine goals above expectations during an eight-game stretch. However, this year’s regular season featured increased workload, with 63 appearances, which some speculate may have contributed to his current performance difficulties. Yet, the team must also reevaluate its defensive strategies.
Despite their reputation for strong defense, the Jets’ back end has struggled significantly against the Blues. St. Louis has effectively penetrated the Jets’ defensive line, creating traffic in front of Hellebuyck and blocking his visibility on high-quality scoring opportunities. Players like Robert Thomas and Brayden Schenn have exploited gaps, often skating into prime shooting zones without sufficient opposition.
With the Jets set to return home for Game 5, there is little doubt that home-ice advantage will be crucial. Yet, addressing defensive lapses will be essential if they hope to turn the series in their favor. Dependable matchups will not suffice if they do not enhance their collective defensive play to support Hellebuyck properly.
Meanwhile, across the league, players like Jake Guentzel have been delivering noteworthy performances in the playoffs. Establishing himself as a remarkable clutch player, Guentzel has consistently lit up the postseason since his rookie year, and this season has been no different. Following a quieter Game 2, he rebounded with a stellar performance in Game 4, scoring three points and aiding his team in sustaining its competitive edge.
Further bolstering his team’s efforts, Gabriel Landeskog made a triumphant return to the NHL after nearly three years away. Despite initial doubts regarding his ability to return to form given the lengthy absence, he quickly made an impact upon rejoining the Colorado Avalanche’s lineup. In a limited role, Landeskog played a pivotal part in Game 3, turning the tide for his team and contributing to a significant offensive effort.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are also finding success with their unconventional five-forward power play, which has proven effective thus far in the postseason. While previous seasons saw their power play falter in critical moments, this year’s iteration has capitalized on opportunities and converted at a significantly better rate, propelling them close to playoff advancement.
In contrast, the New Jersey Devils are grappling with their power play struggles, standing as the only team yet to score on the man advantage this postseason. Their inability to convert has placed them at a disadvantage against teams like the Carolina Hurricanes, who have thrived on special teams play, leaving the Devils in dire need of adjustments.
As the postseason continues, the performances of star players like Hellebuyck, Guentzel, and Landeskog will be closely monitored as their teams navigate the treacherous landscape of playoff hockey. Whether through addressing defensive shortcomings or stepping into pivotal roles, the outcomes of these struggles and successes will shape the direction of the playoffs ahead.