Riyadh, Saudi Arabia – Hamas is currently considering a proposal put forth by Egypt that could potentially lead to the release of up to 33 hostages abducted from Israel in exchange for a pause in hostilities in Gaza, as disclosed by an Israeli source and a foreign diplomatic source. The framework of the proposal consists of two phases – the initial phase involves the release of 20 to 33 hostages over several weeks in exchange for a temporary pause in hostilities and the liberation of Palestinian prisoners. The subsequent phase aims for what sources refer to as the “restoration of sustainable calm,” which would include the exchange of the remaining hostages, captive Israeli soldiers, and deceased hostages for more Palestinian prisoners.
Amid months of stalled negotiations, reaching an agreement from both parties would signify a significant advancement towards resolving the conflict. However, if no consensus is reached, Israel might escalate its presence in Gaza, potentially leading to a large-scale ground invasion in the city of Rafah, where over a million Palestinians are seeking refuge. Concerns regarding substantial civilian casualties have prompted warnings from Israel’s allies, including the United States, against such a operation.
Israel is currently awaiting a response from Hamas, with expectations for meetings between the group and Egyptian and Qatari mediators in Cairo. Additionally, a delegation comprising Mossad, Shin Bet, and Israeli military officials is anticipated to visit Cairo for further discussions. Hamas leader in Gaza, Yahya Sinwar, is anticipated to provide a response within the coming days, possibly within the next 24 hours.
Moreover, the duration of the initial phase of the pause in hostilities would correspond to the number of hostages released, with the latest proposal suggesting a one-day pause for each released hostage. Initially, negotiations had been centered around the release of 40 hostages to secure a six-week ceasefire. However, Hamas adjusted its offer to fewer than 20 individuals earlier this month, prompting Israel to accept fewer hostages in the first phase.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has emphasized the generous nature of the ceasefire proposal presented to Hamas by Israel. In discussions with World Economic Forum President Børge Brende, Blinken highlighted the pivotal role of Hamas in making a prompt decision to achieve a ceasefire. The ongoing negotiations between Israel and Hamas have garnered support from Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry, who expressed hope for both parties to accept the proposal, emphasizing the goal of achieving a permanent ceasefire and addressing humanitarian conditions.
As the negotiations progress, the looming possibility of an Israeli military offensive in Rafah remains a pressing concern. Israeli officials have indicated a willingness to engage in negotiations for sustainable calm within a comprehensive agreement aimed at terminating the conflict effectively. The recent Egyptian mediation efforts are regarded as the final opportunity to avert a potential offensive in Rafah, cautioned by Israeli sources.
Efforts to safeguard civilians and prevent civilian harm have been at the forefront of discussions among international stakeholders. The Biden administration has raised concerns over potential military actions in Rafah, emphasizing the importance of a plan to protect civilians. With the death toll rising in Gaza due to Israeli bombardment, the urgency for a peaceful resolution to the conflict is becoming increasingly apparent.