New York City jurors recently found former President Donald Trump guilty on 34 felony counts related to concealing hush money payments to adult film star Stormy Daniels before the 2016 election. Despite these legal troubles, Trump’s chances for a potential 2024 White House bid do not seem to have been significantly hindered, according to recent polls.
One Issues and Insights (I&I)/TIPP poll released on Monday showed Trump and President Joe Biden tied at 41 percent in a head-to-head matchup. This marks an improvement for Trump, who previously trailed Biden by two points in a similar poll in May. The latest survey was conducted between May 29 and May 31 and indicated that a substantial portion of the polled voters were aware of Trump’s recent legal troubles.
With independents still favoring Trump over Biden in the polls, this demographic’s support may play a crucial role in swing states that could determine the election’s outcome. Despite some initial expectations of a decline in Trump’s support after his conviction, the polls suggest that his popularity has not waned significantly.
Meanwhile, a Morning Consult survey conducted after the trial found Trump leading Biden by one point among registered voters. While there are varying opinions on the potential impact of Trump’s legal troubles on his long-term political prospects, it is clear that his conviction has not led to an immediate collapse in voter support.
Trump, who plans to appeal the conviction, is facing a sentencing date in July. While many experts believe prison time is unlikely for the former president, the outcome of his legal battles could have significant repercussions on his future political ambitions.
As the public awaits the next steps in Trump’s legal saga, the political landscape remains uncertain, with polls reflecting a close race between Trump and Biden. The upcoming months leading up to the 2024 election will likely shed more light on the implications of Trump’s legal troubles on his political future.